Causality/thought
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Fisher's randomization inferenceCausality/thought 2025. 3. 31. 11:04
우연이라고 하기엔우연일 확률이 너무 희박하다. 그런데 그 희박한 확률을 뚫고너와 내가 만났으니 우리의 만남은 우연이 아니구나! 이거슨"significant하다!!"Under the null hypothesis of no effect, the observed difference could well be due to chance (this highlights the role of statistical significance - whether the observed difference is large enough to conclude that it is unlikely to be due to chance).
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! 방법을 하나 찾음Causality/thought 2025. 3. 22. 14:12
The triple differences design was first introduced by Gruber (1994) in a study of state-level policies providing maternity benefits. He uses as his treatment group married women of childbearing age in treatment and control states, but he also uses a set of placebo units (older women and single men 20–40) as within-state controls. He then goes through the differences in means to get the differenc..
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Interesting topic to think aboutCausality/thought 2025. 3. 19. 20:08
https://kiciman.org/With DoWhy, one of the projects I'm excited about is a PyWhy LLM. Right now, it's an experimental library starting up but what we're looking at is how we can incorporate LLMs into the analysis process with DoWhy. So using PyWhy LLM to help people use LLMs to generate causal graphs and to refute, to critique their assumptions. So plugging in certainly at the beginning and the ..
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Interesting issue to think aboutCausality/thought 2025. 3. 11. 07:21
우연하게 인터넷 뉴스를 보다가 흥미로운 주제를 발견했다.떠오른 생각들을 바로 기록으로 남기다 보니, 논리적으로 타당하지 않거나 문법적 오류가 있을 수 있다.그리고, 아직 세부적으로 정확한 data를 찾아보지는 않았다. 그냥 빠르게 가설을 세워보기 위해, 쉽게 접근 가능한 관련 data를 찾아보았다. * Research question: The effect of childbirth incentives on birth rates! When making policy decisions, have the authorities addressed all the necessary context? Is it even possible to do that? 정부에서 어떤 정책을 수립하는 의사결정을 할 때, 그 정책의 효과를..